Decisions on Power Emergency Supplies Based on Confidence Criterion
Yahao Zhao1Chen Zhang1Huang Huang1Tianji Xu2Wei Hu3Xin Huang3
1. Qujing Power Supply Bureau, Yunnan Power Grid Co.Ltd.2. Yunnan Power Grid Co.Ltd3. Kunming Enersun Technology Co.Ltd
摘要：This paper presents a new model of standardized matching for supplies due to the lack of timeliness, validity and pertinence in deployment of emergency supplies and lack of complete sets of supplies. On this basis, this paper puts forward a decision-making method for power emergency supplies based on confidence criterion. This method divides the configuration packages of the emergency supplies required by different types of accidents into different levels through four indicators – disaster type, disaster degree, number of victims and number of commanders and rescuers. When a new accident occurs, as long as the corresponding index parameters are input, the level of configuration package of the emergency supplies required can be quickly acquired. Such a method is in line with the model of standardized matching for emergency supplies presented in this paper. The experimental results show that, the evaluation results of this evaluation model have a high precision. To divide the configuration demand for the emergency supplies required by different types of accidents by the level based on confidence criterion is more scientific, intuitive and feasible than the traditional fuzzy evaluation method.
2017 4th International Conference on Engineering Technology and Application （ICETA 2017）