Catch Me If You Can:Predicting Mobility Patterns of Public Transport Users
Stefan Foell1Santi Phithakkitnukoon2Gerd Kortuem3Marco Veloso4Carlos Bento5
1. Stefan Foell is with the Computing Department,The Open University,Milton Keynes2. Santi Phithakkitnukoon is with the Department of Computer Engineering,Chiang Mai University3. Gerd Kortuem is with the Computing Department,The Open University,Milton Keynes4. Marco Veloso is with Centro de Informtica e Sistemas da Universidade de Coimbra,Coimbra5. Carlos Bento is with Centro de Informtica e Sistemas da Universidade de Coimbra,Coimbra
摘要:Direct and easy access to public transport information is an important factor for improving the satisfaction and experience of transport users.In the future,public transport information systems could be turned into personalized recommender systems which can help riders save time,make more effective decisions and avoid frustrating situations.In this paper,we present a predictive study of the mobility patterns of public transport users to lay the foundation for transport information systems with proactive capabilities.By making use of travel card data from a large population of bus riders,we describe algorithms that can anticipate bus stops accessed by individual riders to generate knowledge about future transport access patterns.To this end,we investigate and compare different prediction algorithms that can incorporate various influential factors on mobility in public transport networks,e.g.,travel distance or travel hot spots.In our evaluation,we demonstrate that by combining personal and population-wide mobility patterns we can improve prediction accuracy,even with little knowledge of past behavior of transport users.
会议名称:
17th International IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems & The Asia-Pacific Council on Systems Engineering Conference 2014
会议时间:
2014-10-08
会议地点:
中国山东青岛
- 专辑:
工程科技Ⅱ辑
- 专题:
公路与水路运输
- 分类号:
U495;U491.17
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